Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 270.474253 306.374518 346.588689 395.226171 452.794269 519.175596 602.112342
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 225.922390 274.787460 334.778394 414.922688 520.845170 658.458684 854.868818
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 195.242665 248.117470 316.867307 414.826654 554.249885 751.136166 1060.916760
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 169.788811 222.905591 295.011101 402.965277 565.850225 811.966357 1232.297601
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 150.777314 203.277755 277.123859 392.376336 575.198406 868.355910 1407.659384
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 141.557285 195.914996 275.122758 404.050381 619.396841 987.065701 1720.438916
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 131.492610 185.993329 267.794813 405.792853 646.832901 1081.904428 2016.317090
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 120.830465 173.987394 255.741637 397.840913 655.641263 1143.897871 2263.784763
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 113.443890 166.248363 249.448515 398.460540 679.448742 1238.851724 2614.978584
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 105.209550 156.403898 238.679936 389.737327 683.962106 1295.206083 2893.938648
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 99.211715 149.631303 232.304046 387.991611 701.587856 1382.973850 3287.152874
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 91.124412 138.806071 218.081228 370.036051 683.442216 1386.620605 3449.169998
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 89.215908 138.282137 221.873144 387.215600 743.054436 1589.693055 4309.490848
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 87.782200 138.450309 226.918725 407.612868 814.040336 1843.193156 5497.607303
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 83.603753 133.492841 222.135850 407.406096 837.746130 1979.110828 6356.659858
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 78.341513 126.239721 212.461588 395.820821 832.260886 2031.935753 6922.930963
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.702138 119.798554 203.812435 385.466337 828.186104 2088.496597 7551.278071
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 72.019121 118.597096 205.090127 396.880850 881.590166 2339.053414 9311.649025
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 69.358853 115.403904 202.191996 398.584396 909.833334 2518.583157 10896.814210
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 65.896559 110.492706 195.493738 390.809710 910.845105 2605.759492 12049.610273
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 63.547782 107.539991 192.517956 391.415558 935.699828 2788.244882 14035.322434
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 60.473457 103.021344 186.010248 382.885822 932.624092 2865.339761 15399.672188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 58.252083 100.026045 182.452934 381.178693 949.796790 3029.856564 17690.129966